A blogger over at Seattlepi.com has posted an interview he did with someone who worked on the Xbox 360 project. The blogger claims he should be trusted because he was the one who broke the news about Bungie was leaving Microsoft and had all the details a full week before the official PR announcement. This should be taken as a "rumor" until confirmed.
Q: So what do you think the real failure rate of the Xbox 360 is? Some have estimated it as high as 30%. I got my Xbox in early 2007 and so far so good but what do you think the chance is that it's going to die on me one day.
It's around 30%, and all will probably fail early. This quarter they are expecting 1 M failures, most of those Xenons. Some of those are repeat failures. Life expectancy is all over the map because the design has very little margin for most of the important parameters. That means it's not a fault tolerant design. So a good unit may last a couple of years, while a bad unit can fail in hours. I have a launch unit and have not had a single problem with it. And it's used a lot. But I don't know anyone else with a 360 that hasn't broken, except you now. There's no way to tell when yours might die. But the cooler you can keep it, the longer it will probably last. So stand it up, keep it in free air, etc. :Note : Xenon was the code name for the first Xbox 360 mother board.
Courtesy of Seattlepi blogger, 8bitjoystick also posted on 8bitjoystick.com
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